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In short, next year attackers will start to experiment with malicious chatbots to socially engineer victims.
They will start with basic text-based bots, but in the future, they could use human speech bots like Google
Duplex to socially engineer victims over the phone or other voice connections.
2) Prediction: Utilities and Industrial Control Systems Targeted with Ransomware
Description:
Next year, targeted ransomware campaigns will focus on utilities and industrial control systems (ICSs).
The average payment demand will increase by 6500 percent, from an average of $300 to $20,000 per
payment. These attacks will result in real-world consequences like blackouts and loss of access to public
utilities.
Ransomware has plagued the internet over the past five years, starting with CryptoLocker, the first really
successful crypto-ransomware, and culminating with WannaCry, the first fast-spreading ransomworm.
During these past years, cyber criminals have blasted out broad ransomware campaigns at everyone,
looking to infect as many victims as possible while asking each for a relatively meager ransom.
However, over the past year hackers have shifted to targeted attacks that come with bigger payouts.
Launching ransomware against organizations that offer critical services increases the odds that the
ransom will be paid. Forty-five percent of all ransomware attacks in 2017 targeted healthcare
organizations, like the NHS in the UK. In 2016, the Hollywood Presbyterian Medicare Center paid a
$17,000 ransom to regain control of their computer systems, and other major ransomware attacks hit
MedStar Health and Alvarado Hospital Medical Center, among dozens of others. Many U.S. cities were
also hit with ransomware in 2017 and 2018, including Baltimore and Atlanta.
In 2019, cyber criminals will target public utilities and ICSs. These are vital services that have not yet
been targeted by widespread ransomware attacks and therefore may not be as prepared for this type of
attack. Cyber criminals know that any ransomware that can cause downtime to these services will get
swift attention, allowing them to ask for considerably more money in return. This has the potential to
cause blackouts and gaps in water and power services if these attacks are successful. To summarize,
expect to see fewer ransomware attacks next year, but more focused attacks – specifically targeted
towards utilities and ICS – with ransom demands increasing by 6500 percent.
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